President Salva Kiir has invited General Abdel Fattah al‑Burhan to Juba, a move aimed at strengthening bilateral ties, stabilizing borders, and expanding trade cooperation. The invitation, delivered by National Security Adviser Tut Gatluak, comes as the UAE‑backed RSF loses ground militarily, signaling a shift in Sudan’s balance of power. While this development may not immediately end the conflict, it offers a pathway toward dialogue and a glimmer of hope for peace in Sudan and the wider region.

President Salva Kiir of South Sudan has officially invited General Abdel Fattah al‑Burhan, Chairman of Sudan’s Sovereign Council, to visit Juba. The invitation was delivered by Kiir’s National Security Adviser, Tut Gatluak, during meetings in Khartoum, and Burhan accepted. The visit is intended to strengthen bilateral ties, address border stability, and expand trade cooperation.

The purpose of the visit centers on several key priorities: reinforcing the historic bilateral relations between Sudan and South Sudan; addressing border stability challenges, particularly in the Abyei region; ensuring the continued transit of South Sudanese crude oil through Sudanese pipelines; advancing plans to establish joint trade zones along the border; and coordinating broader efforts to promote regional peace and stability.

The economic interdependence between Sudan and South Sudan remains central, as South Sudan exports nearly all of its oil through Sudan, while Sudan depends on the transit fees as a vital source of revenue. Despite ongoing tensions surrounding Abyei’s potential inclusion in South Sudan’s upcoming elections, both governments continue to demonstrate commitment to dialogue. The invitation also carries a broader geopolitical signal, highlighting Juba’s role as a mediator and Sudan’s interest in stabilizing relations amid its ongoing civil war.

The invitation carries several important implications. Diplomatically, it offers an opportunity to reset relations and strengthen engagement following recent disputes. Economically, the establishment of joint trade zones could stimulate cross‑border commerce and enhance cooperation. From a security perspective, the discussions are expected to address measures against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and broader regional instability, underscoring the shared interest in promoting peace and stability.

From my perspective, the invitation comes at a time when the UAE‑backed RSF is steadily losing ground on the battlefield. This shifting military balance adds weight to the diplomatic engagement, as Sudan’s Armed Forces (SAF) gain leverage both domestically and regionally. Against this backdrop, Burhan’s acceptance of President Kiir’s invitation underscores the strategic importance of strengthening ties with South Sudan while projecting confidence in Sudan’s evolving position.

Equally, the invitation signals that Abu Dhabi has lost its diplomatic privilege within President Kiir’s administration. This shift could potentially sever one of the logistical lifelines sustaining the UAE‑backed RSF, undermining its capacity as a war ally in Sudan.Indeed, the recent diplomatic development between Sudan and South Sudan may not immediately silence the guns in Sudan. Nevertheless, it represents a significant step forward—a tunnel that could eventually lead to the cessation of the war and illuminate a path of hope for peace, not only for Sudan and its people but also for the wider region.

Sources:

• References
• The Citizen News 
• Radio Tamazuj

For months, suspicious cargo and military flights between the UAE and Ethiopia have been documented. Particularly notable is Bahir Dar Airport in northern Ethiopia, which appears to have become a strategic hub for regional military activity.

Recent reports from the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) regarding downed Turkish Bayraktar Akinci drones have further strengthened suspicions that Bahir Dar may have served not only as a logistical center, but potentially also as an operational base for military activities connected to the Sudan conflict.

If these allegations are confirmed, the consequences for the entire region could be severe.

While Addis Ababa publicly speaks about regional cooperation and stability, there is an increasing perception that the PP regime is, in fact, pursuing a policy of military power projection — supported by external actors with their own geopolitical interests.

At the same time, the United Arab Emirates is facing growing criticism over its alleged involvement in African conflicts, both directly and indirectly. Emirati interests, weapons transfers, and military networks have already been linked to several crisis zones across the continent. The current developments surrounding Ethiopia and Sudan could represent another chapter in this increasingly assertive foreign policy.

Particularly alarming is the potential internationalization of the Sudan war. Every form of foreign interference prolongs the conflict, deepens the humanitarian catastrophe, and further destabilizes the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea region.

Meanwhile, the PP regime continues to dismiss criticism as “conspiracy theories” or “anti-Ethiopian propaganda.” Yet the number of unanswered questions continues to grow:

Why are military flights between the UAE and Bahir Dar increasing?
What role are foreign drones playing in the Sudan conflict?
Why are more indications of covert military cooperation emerging?

The people of the region deserve answers — not propaganda, intimidation, or geopolitical power games.

The Horn of Africa needs peace, economic development, and genuine regional cooperation. But as long as external actors and regional governments continue to instrumentalize conflicts for strategic interests, the risk of a much larger escalation will remain real.